Boston U.
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
78  Rosa Moriello SR 19:57
266  Monica Adler JR 20:32
614  Michelle Sumner SO 21:07
706  Shelby Stableford SO 21:13
970  Nikki Long SR 21:32
1,392  Ashli Tagoai JR 21:58
1,471  Rachel Lottermann SO 22:02
1,762  Felicia Sciortino FR 22:20
2,047  Janelle Jorgensen SR 22:39
2,147  Ally Brillaud SR 22:45
2,215  Erin Pierce SO 22:49
2,705  Sydney Lagueux FR 23:23
National Rank #66 of 340
Northeast Region Rank #12 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.2%
Most Likely Finish 11th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.3%
Top 10 in Regional 25.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Rosa Moriello Monica Adler Michelle Sumner Shelby Stableford Nikki Long Ashli Tagoai Rachel Lottermann Felicia Sciortino Janelle Jorgensen Ally Brillaud Erin Pierce
NEICAAA New England Championship 10/12 948 19:58 20:32 21:39 21:05 22:15 22:33 22:14
Patriot League Championships 11/02 918 19:52 20:32 21:17 21:04 21:38 21:59 22:13 22:28 22:48 22:46 23:29
Northeast Region Championships 11/15 1050 20:17 21:01 21:04 21:51 21:40 21:55 22:15





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.2% 26.4 631 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 11.5 327 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 3.5 6.9 12.5 24.9 21.7 13.2 8.1 4.3 1.9 0.4 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rosa Moriello 44.2% 68.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Monica Adler 0.3% 112.5
Michelle Sumner 0.2% 194.0
Shelby Stableford 0.2% 213.0
Nikki Long 0.2% 231.0
Ashli Tagoai 0.2% 250.0
Rachel Lottermann 0.2% 248.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rosa Moriello 13.8 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.8 2.5 3.9 5.6 6.7 6.9 8.3 7.0 7.3 6.7 5.7 5.6 5.4 4.7 3.4 2.9 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.4
Monica Adler 38.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.1 0.9 1.5 1.4 1.7 1.7
Michelle Sumner 77.7
Shelby Stableford 84.6
Nikki Long 106.8
Ashli Tagoai 143.2
Rachel Lottermann 149.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.1% 75.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4
5 0.2% 30.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 5
6 0.7% 5.6% 0.0 0.7 0.0 6
7 1.5% 1.5 7
8 3.5% 3.5 8
9 6.9% 6.9 9
10 12.5% 12.5 10
11 24.9% 24.9 11
12 21.7% 21.7 12
13 13.2% 13.2 13
14 8.1% 8.1 14
15 4.3% 4.3 15
16 1.9% 1.9 16
17 0.4% 0.4 17
18 0.1% 0.1 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 0.2% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.8 0.0 0.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0